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Yet Another Tropical Storm?

Passage Weather projects an as-yet-unnamed tropical storm to be near Cabo by Friday night. But the projections change almost hourly. Windyty shows a slightly different path. Both forecasting services show the storm suddenly disappearing a very short time later.

© 2015 Passage Weather

By this time of year tropical storm season has usually ended in Mexico, not only from Cabo north, but also off mainland Mexico. Currently the National Hurricane Center isn’t showing anything, nor is eebmike.com, but both passageweather.com and windyty.com are predicting yet another tropical storm.

Much of the energy for it seems to be making its way through the Gulf of Tehuantepec about now, with circulation starting tomorrow and increasing over the next several days. We’re not experts, but it seems they are predicting a very fast-moving storm, one that heads very far to the west, and then almost due north.

Long-range forecasts tend to be unreliable, but as you can see, Passage Weather forecasts a tropical storm to be northwest of Banderas Bay and just south of Cabo on Friday about 6 p.m. So it’s something we recommend everyone with a boat in the area — such as ourselves — monitor closely.

The interesting thing is that 12 hours later than the forecast shown, Passage Weather and windyty show nothing left at all.

Yesterday and today the weather has been spectacular on Banderas Bay. Here’s hoping it stays that way for Turkey Day and beyond. 

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On Sunday at 4:01:58 GMT, the trimaran Spindrift 2 crossed the start line that runs from Créac’h lighthouse (Ushant Island, France) to Lizard Point (Cornwall) for the start of her crewed nonstop circumnavigation.