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Bashing Ahead of a Hurricane?

After a series of obstacles that have prevented us from heading north from La Cruz to do the Baja Bash with Profligate, we were all ready to go. Then we looked at Passage Weather.

We didn’t like the looks of the forecast for Thursday at 6 UTC.

© 2011 Passage Weather
And we didn’t find the looks of Saturday 12 UTC to be much more reassuring.

© Passage Weather

It’s true that the ‘storm’ is currently only Tropical Depression #4, and there’s a possibility it won’t amount to much. And if all went well, we could probably be in San Diego before the storm reached the latitude of Cabo. But we’ve convinced ourselves that our insurance company would prefer it if we didn’t run the risk of having engine or other problems while trying to outrun a hurricane. That’s because it gives us a chance to stay down here longer and enjoy the wonderful summer weather on Banderas Bay. The thought of a foggy California coast, and its icy water, sends a chill down our spine.

The good news is that the forecast for Tropical Depression #4, if it develops into a named storm, has been getting better. Originally Passage Weather had the storm skirting the coast of mainland Mexico then heading right up the center of the Sea of Cortez. Then it was going to go a little further offshore. As of the latest forecast, it appears it will go even further off the coast. Let’s hope that trend continues.

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