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Commentary

Happy Fourth of July Weekend!

Sunday is the 4th of July. Some regions are hosting celebrations and fireworks, while others are keeping it simple. Whatever you do across this weekend we wish you a safe and fun celebration. More »

Golden Ticket Run: A Series of Independent Random Events?

"Suppose you roll a single die dozens of times, in a game in which you only 'win' (e.g., find a Golden Ticket) if you roll a 6. It turns out that ANY pattern that, over time (e.g., lots of months), averages out to 1 'win' every 6 rolls, is equally likely."