AC34 on S.F. Bay – Place Your Bets

C.W. Nevius, who writes about the America’s Cup from time to time for the San Francisco Chronicle, doesn’t know shit about sailing. He proved that yesterday by writing some nonsense  about "tacking to leeward." We don’t hold his sailing ignorance against him, as sailing can be as difficult for non-sailors to understand as cricket is to most of the world.

But Nevius did have a point in yesterday’s report, which is that until the event authority — a.k.a. Larry Ellison — and San Francisco come to an agreement about leases of port land, there is no certainty there will even be an America’s Cup on San Francisco Bay next year. That it’s not a done deal was one of the main points we made in the ‘America’s Cup Insider’s Guide’ article in this month’s Latitude.

Nevius, who says he’s covered about a million Olympics, reports that such games of chicken aren’t anything new between event organizers and local governments where the events are to be held. But he sounded a little concerned. As are we.

The other worriesome thing about the Cup is the speculation that only three teams — Oracle, the Paul Cayard-lead Team Artemis from Sweden, and Emirates Team New Zealand — will build the 72-ft cats that are to be used in the Finals. And that all the rest of the teams aren’t going beyond the 45s. That would tend to lessen the gravitas of the event, wouldn’t you agree?

So we’re asking you, Latitude readers, to place two bets on the America’s Cup right now. First, will there even be an America’s Cup on San Francisco Bay late next summer? Second, if the event does happen, will it surprise to the upside or the downside? You can add comments, but because we expect to get lots of responses, please limit them to 100 words.